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‘Tenaciousness of winter’: Weather Network forecasts a delayed spring

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‘Tenaciousness of winter’: Weather Network forecasts a delayed spring

According to the network’s forecast, Saskatchewan and Manitoba are expected to experience colder than normal temperatures, especially during the early weeks of spring.

Nikita was out for a ride on Janicka Grayston's shoulder this week in Saskatoon.

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Saskatoon StarPhoenix

Some southern parts of Saskatchewan, Alberta and Manitoba “could look and feel wintrier than what we saw during the heart of winter” because of possible above-normal precipitation in those regions, according to spring weather predictions from a national forecaster.

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‘Tenaciousness of winter’: Weather Network forecasts a delayed spring

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That outlook is consistent with what much of the country may see, says The Weather Network chief meteorologist Chris Scott. A winter season that lacked commitment in its early days is likely to finish strong before spring’s sluggish arrival, Scott said.

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The Weather Network said a warm jet stream resulted in above-average winter temperatures for most of Canada, but it expects that trend to change in the season’s final stretch.

Scott acknowledged the predictions contained in the network’s spring outlook probably aren’t what most Canadians want to hear.

“There were periods this winter where it was wild and people were throwing the baseball around in early February … so Canadians might be a bit surprised at the tenaciousness of winter,” he said in a phone interview.

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“We’ve got, frankly, more than a month before we can really start to talk about consistent warmth.”

A top meteorologist says a Canadian winter that lacked commitment earlier in the season is expected to finish strong before spring’s sluggish arrival.

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The Canadian Press

But, Scott added, it’s not all bad news, noting spring temperatures are forecast to be warmer than normal when they finally do set in. And since the winter lacked heavy snowpacks, Scott said areas that typically flood will see less water overflow at the start of spring, and an active storm track that may bring above-normal precipitation across Canada will help delay fire season in the west.

The west coast and the Prairies may also see an extended ski season because of the cool, wet start to the spring, he added.

According to the network’s forecast, Saskatchewan and Manitoba are also expected to experience colder than normal temperatures, especially during the early weeks of spring.

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Spring flooding, at this point, is not a major concern across southern portions of Saskatchewan and Manitoba, The Weather Network said, noting that most areas received near-normal or below-normal snowfall during the winter. As well, the outlook for spring is calling for much drier conditions than last year. Further north, the spring flood risk is near normal.

The weather outlook predicts similar conditions will persist in Ontario and Quebec. Periods of colder than normal temperatures and messy winter storms are predicted for March and even parts of April. The prolonged winter trend is expected to hold true for provinces farther east as well, Scott said.

“Some places in eastern Canada may see more winter weather in the next few weeks strung together than we’ve seen all winter long,” he said.

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Conditions in northern Canada are on tap to be a bit of a mixed bag, Scott said, noting the forecast calls for precipitation levels to be near seasonal norms across the region. Spring temperatures, however, are expected to be below average in southern Yukon and Northwest Territories, while areas around Baffin Island and parts of Hudson Bay are predicted to see conditions that are warmer than normal.

Scott credits a warm jet stream from the coast of South America for the largely mild winter, noting such conditions are increasingly likely to reoccur.

“We can tell you that the odds of seeing this type of a winter are increasing because there’s just more warmth in the global weather pattern,” he said.

“There’s more opportunity that when it gets warm, it gets really warm. This does feel like a great example of where we are with our climate now versus maybe 40, 50 years ago. It’s much harder to get winters that are more consistently cold across Canada.”

The news seems to be flying at us faster all the time, and it can be hard to keep up. With that in mind, the Saskatoon StarPhoenix has created an Afternoon Headlines newsletter that can be delivered daily to your inbox to help make sure you are up to date with the most vital news of the day. Click here to subscribe.

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